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Wednesday, April 30, 2008

Economics Focus: An aberrant abacus

Coming to terms with China's untrustworthy economic numbers

AS CHINA'S importance in the global economy increases, investors are paying more attention to its economic numbers. Yet the country's official statistics are notoriously ropy. Some commentators accuse China's government of overstating GDP growth for political reasons, others complain that the official inflation rate is fraudulently low. So which data can you trust?

One reason to be suspicious of GDP figures is that China is always one of the first countries to report them, usually only two weeks after the end of each quarter. Most developed economies take between four and six weeks to produce them.

Amazingly, most economists reckon that China has understated its growth in recent years. The country's National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) has recently revised China's GDP growth up by half a percentage point for both 2006 and 2007, to 11.6% and 11.9% respectively, thanks to stronger growth in services, which government statisticians find harder to count than industry. Yet even these revised numbers may be conservative.

Chinese provinces independently report GDP, and a weighted average of their figures consistently gives higher rates of output and growth than those reported by the central government (see chart). True, local officials have an incentive to inflate growth numbers because promotion depends upon economic performance; however, experience suggests that number crunchers in local government are more accurate than Beijing's. For instance, the figures first published for 2004 showed that the sum of the provincial GDPs was 19% bigger than the reported national figure. Lo and behold, in 2005, after a national economic census picked up more services, the NBS revised its GDP up by 17%; it also lifted the annual growth rate over the previous decade.

Stephen Green, an economist at Standard Chartered, calculates that in 2007 the combined output of the provinces was 10% more than that reported by Beijing. Their average growth rate of 13.1% was also still 1.2 percentage points higher than the revised national growth rate, although the gap has narrowed from almost three points in 2005. Perhaps, suggests Mr Green, central NBS folk have decided that they should trust their local counterparts more. But just as local officials have an incentive to inflate numbers, so Beijing has had reason recently to understate them: it wants to slow the red-hot economy. China's true GDP growth may therefore be higher still—which may appear to add to fears of overheating.

Distrust of GDP has led many China-watchers to track alternative monthly measures of growth. Jonathan Anderson at UBS uses one based on production (eg, industry, electricity and construction) and another based on expenditure (retail sales, fixed investment and net exports). Neither gauge shows the same sharp acceleration since 2004-05 as does GDP. One explanation is that the reported jump in GDP growth may be an attempt to correct previously understated growth figures; if so, this could ease overheating concerns.

The government also smoothes quarterly GDP growth; other less politically sensitive indicators, such as industrial production, are much more volatile. For instance, despite severe snow storms and weaker net exports, first-quarter GDP growth slowed by less than expected and by much less than did industrial production. The government may well have made the figures look stronger to avoid criticism of its tighter credit policy.


The right-hand chart ranks the reliability of other Chinese statistics, based on an analysis by Goldman Sachs. The closely watched figures for fixed-asset investment are among the least reliable. They include purchases of land, which only reflect changes in ownership, not an increase in capacity or value added. Rising land prices in recent years have therefore led to a big overstatement of the level and the growth of investment. In contrast, consumer spending is almost certainly much higher and growing faster than official figures suggest. Retail sales are often used as a proxy for private consumption, but they exclude services, the fastest-growing slice of households' budgets.

China's true inflation rate is probably higher than the consumer-price index (CPI) reports. One problem is that the CPI appears to be based on the prices of state-provided health, transport and education while ignoring their increasingly important private counterparts. Data for 36 cities collected by the National Development and Reform Commission show that inflation for medical care and education has been running at 5-10% since 2001, well above the 1-2% reported in the CPI. However, even if the official measure understates inflation, the changes in it may still be a fair gauge over time. Goldman Sachs therefore ranks it relatively high in terms of reliability.

Foreign trade is perhaps the most accurate economic indicator. Critics accuse China of fiddling its trade figures, because the value of its exports as measured by the importing country is always much bigger than what the Chinese report. This discrepancy reflects the fact that China's bilateral trade figures exclude goods shipped to Hong Kong before being re-exported. But this should not affect total export figures and detailed Hong Kong data are available to adjust bilateral trade flows.

The prize for the dodgiest figures goes to the labour market. The quarterly urban unemployment rate is meaningless because it excludes workers laid off by state-owned firms as well as large numbers of migrant workers, who normally live in urban areas but are not registered. Wage figures are also lousy. There has recently been much concern about the faster pace of increase in average urban earnings. But this series does not cover private firms, which are where most jobs have been created in recent years.

Now that China is such an engine of global growth, it urgently needs to improve its economic data. Only a madman would drive a juggernaut at full speed with a faulty speedometer, a cracked rear-view mirror and a misty windscreen.

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May 1st 2008
From The Economist print edition

Baby carrot confit with orange juice and cumin

Servings: Makes 4 servings


Ingredients

4 bunches baby carrots with green tops attached, tops trimmed to 1 1/2 inches, carrots peeled (about 24)
1 1/4 cups fresh orange juice
1 teaspoon ground cumin
2 tablespoons (1/4 stick) butter


Preparation

Place carrots in pot large enough to hold carrots in double layer. Pour orange juice over; add cumin. Sprinkle with salt and freshly ground black pepper. Bring to boil. Reduce heat to medium, cover, and simmer until carrots are just tender, about 10 minutes. Transfer carrots to plate. Boil liquid in pot until slightly reduced and syrupy, about 2 minutes. Stir in butter. Return carrots to pot and simmer just until heated through, about 2 minutes. Season carrots to taste with salt and pepper.

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Bon Appétit | May 2008
by Dorie Greenspan

Thursday, April 24, 2008

Israel Report - Apr 25, 2008

THIS WEEK'S NEWS:

1. OLMERT MAY BE WILLING TO GIVE AWAY THE GOLAN HEIGHTS
2. WELL DONE AMBASSADOR JEAN-MAURICE RIPERT
3. A NEW GRANDIOSE MUSEUM IS BEING BUILT OPPOSITE THE WESTERN WALL
4. HISTORICAL FLASHBACK: 14 DECEMBER 1981



* * * * * * * * * * * *

1. OLMERT MAY BE WILLING TO GIVE AWAY THE GOLAN HEIGHTS

According to Syrian government minister Buthaina Shaaban, Olmert has admitted his willingness to hand over the Golan Heights to Syria. Although Syria and Israel are not in direct contact, Prime Minister Ehud Olmert has also indicated that talks are ongoing through a mediator: "They know what I want from them, and I know well what they want from us," Olmert said in an interview last week.

The Syrians have demanded a complete Israeli withdrawal to the lines of June 4, 1967, before the Six Day War. This would mean Syrian control of the complete elevated Golan plateau with its water resources as well as parts of the eastern shore of the Kinneret (Sea of Galilee). To this day remains of Syrian army positions that used to shell the Jewish towns in Galilee before 1967 can be seen on the slopes of Golan. Olmert on his part has demanded that the Syrians throw Hamas out of Damascus, cease supporting Hizb’Allah and other terror groups and cut their relationship with Iran.

The Syrian minister’s remarks caused uproar among parliamentarians in Israel. A bill that, if approved, will require a referendum on any withdrawal from the Golan, has already passed a preliminary reading in the Knesset. Member of Knesset (MK) David Tal commented: "Withdrawing from the Golan would result in Hizbullah terrorists entering the area and embittering the lives of the residents of northern Israel." Yuval Steinitz from the Likud Party described a possible withdrawal as "unprecedented irresponsibility on Olmert’s part both politically and defense-wise."

In a related development the US State Department decided to release secret information of an aerial attack carried out September 6th of last year on an alleged Syrian nuclear plant. The information is believed to confirm that the Israeli Air Force carried out the attack on a plant that Syria was building with the assistance of North Korea. Israel has never confirmed this information and has worked hard to prevent its disclosure. Israeli analysts believe a publication of the details might embarrass the Syrian President Bashar Assad to the extent that he feels compelled to attack Israel.

Comment:
Political initiatives, even if they are meant as trial balloons, are hardly thrown out on chance. There is usually logic to when and how they are presented. Olmert’s motivation in speaking about a withdrawal from Golan may be an attempt to reach a diplomatic achievement and to divert attention from the situation in Gaza. At the moment it seems as if the negotiations with the Palestinian Authority (PA) are going nowhere. Moreover Sderot is still under bombardment by Kassam rockets. A deal with Syria, although very controversial at the moment, might create the impression of a strong leader and swing the negative polls in Olmert’s favor. But this is a long way to go.

For Syria’s part the comments may be an attempt to stall the negative focus they knew would be coming with the release of the attack on the nuclear plant. Syria has insisted that the US will be a part of the negotiations with Israel and might therefore be trying to get out of the "axis of evil." But if Syria is serious in wanting peace with Israel and accepts Olmert’s demands to cut ties with Hamas, Hizb’Allah and Iran, they will need US support to withstand the pressure. But this seems also as a long way to go.

It would seem therefore that a deal on Golan is not realistic at present. However, the topic keeps coming back and has been a topic of serious discussion for Israeli prime ministers since the mid 1990s. Based on recent experience from South Lebanon and Gaza, land withdrawals do not lead to peace. If, therefore, the bill on a referendum for withdrawal from the Golan is approved, Olmert may find it hard to convince the population that this withdrawal will be different.

Many foreign observers are at first stunned at the fact that there are Israelis who support the most extreme views in terms of land withdrawals. But then they reason that if Israelis can accept a full withdrawal to the Green Line (lines before the Six Day War), then this must be an acceptable solution. But there is a major problem with this argument.

Many Israelis who are in favor of extensive withdrawals, know that they are taking a calculated risk. When confronted with historical and ongoing patterns of behavior on the side of the Arabs and with the anti-Semitic indoctrination going on in Arab societies, these Israelis have few answers except: "Still, I am willing to take the risk." The current President of Israel, Shimon Peres, was once asked what happens if his vision to create peace in the Middle East through economic cooperation fails. He answered: "I don’t give answers to questions which I don’t have answers for." An honest, but discomforting answer.

One dividing line in the Israeli society when it comes to the peace process goes along these lines; those who are willing to take the risk and those who are not. The former group bases their position mainly on hopes and best-case scenarios. The latter group bases their position on experience, facts, and logic. A problem with the position of the former group is that if their "calculated risk" fails, it may lead to the destruction of the Jewish nation.



2. WELL DONE AMBASSADOR JEAN-MAURICE RIPERT

During a debate Wednesday in the UN Security Council on the Gaza issue, the French delegate Jean-Maurice Ripert pulled out his earplug and left the auditorium. Other delegates, including from the US, Britain, France, and Belgium followed his lead. The walk out was a protest against comments by the Libyan delegate who compared the conditions in Gaza to a Nazi death camp. British official Karen Pierce commented on the rare protest: "A number of Council members were dismayed by the approach taken by Libya and do not believe that such language helps advance the peace process." However, after the debate the Syrian UN ambassador added to the injustice by comparing the Holocaust with "the genocide" against the Palestinian Arabs.

Comment:
Language counts. It is sad that for too long and in a variety of forum Arab delegates and their supporters have spread distortions and outright lies regarding Israel without being confronted. The result is that many are no longer disgusted by seeing posters with the Star of David equated with the swastika. It is a sign of how far this attitude has spread when there are people who feel we have to explain how far reality in Gaza is from the death camps. But the two phenomena are really beyond any comparison. Comparing them will just play into the hands of those who try to connect the two – and present the Jews as the villains.

The act of Mr. Ripert is an important statement that carries symbolic meaning. May it be a precedent that will deny Israel’s opponents a platform if they insist on using this kind of language. Mr. Ripert has cast the glove – Let us pick it up!



3. A NEW GRANDIOSE MUSEUM IS BEING BUILT OPPOSITE THE WESTERN WALL

A new grandiose museum with Temple replica is being erected opposite the Western Wall, Ynet News reports. The three-story museum, whose construction is valued at nearly $20 million, will feature a journey through Jewish history, from the days of Abraham to the present, emphasizing the message and significance of the Jewish people's presence in the Land of Israel and their degree of accomplishment in world improvement.

The museum will have a big amphitheater, whose cost is being sponsored by Hollywood star Kirk Douglas and his son Michael. The amphitheater will feature a three-dimensional film depicting the history of the Jewish nation over a huge glass screen through which one can see the Western Wall. The museum will also include a learning center with a VIP wing to host politicians and celebrities from Israel and abroad. The company in charge of the museum's construction is the same international company that built visitor sites such as the Tower of London Museum and the World Museum Liverpool.



4. HISTORICAL FLASHBACK: 14 DECEMBER 1981

Prime Minister Menahem Begin surprises his own ministers when he summons them to his sick-bed in Jerusalem and informs them that he intends to pass a law that very same day extending Israeli law to the Golan Heights. Having secured cabinet approval, the law is adopted by the Knesset later that evening by a majority of 63 against 21. Among those in favor are eight members of the Labor Party opposition. Mr. Begin argues that the time had come to implement the government's policy regarding the Golan Heights and cites Syria's implacable hostility to Israel. He reminds the ministers that the Syrian president had recently rejected any ties with Israel, even if the PLO would recognize Israel. Another reason for the timing of the passage of the law is the continued presence of Syrian missiles in Lebanon.

Sunday, April 20, 2008

Briefing:

Friday, April 18, 2008

Almost Human - On the savannas of Senegal, chimpanzees are hunting bush babies with spearlike sticks. This hothouse of chimp "technology" offers clues to our own evolution

Fongoli Chimps

Fongoli Chimps Hdr


Daybreak is sudden and swift, as though an unseen hand had simply reached out and raised a dimmer switch. Cued by the dawn, thirty-four chimpanzees awaken. They are still in the nests they built the previous night, in trees at the edge of an open plateau.

A wild chimpanzee does not get out of bed quietly. Chimps wake up hollering. There are technical names for what I'm hearing—pant-hoots, pant-barks, screams, hoos—but to a newcomer's ear, it's just a crazy, exuberant, escalating racket. You can't listen without grinning.

These are not chimps you've seen in these pages before. They're savanna-woodland chimps, found in eastern Senegal and across the border in western Mali. Unlike their better-known rain forest kin, savanna-woodland chimps spend most of their day on the ground. There is no canopy here. The trees are low and grow sparsely. It's an environment very much like the open, scratchy terrain where early humans evolved. For this reason, chimpanzee communities like the Fongoli group—named for a stream that runs through its range—are uniquely valuable to scientists who study the origins of our species.

By 8 a.m. my chintzy key-chain thermometer says it's 90 degrees. Our shirts are marked by the same white salt lines that appear on people's boots in winter. Here it's salt from sweat. The plateau we're crossing is a terrain of nothing, of red rocks and skin cancer, with no trees to break the fall of equatorial sun. In our backpacks we each carry three liters of water. It was cool when we set out. By noon it will be hot enough to steep tea.

I'm not complaining. I'm making a point. Life on the savanna—even so-called mosaic savanna, tempered by patches of lusher gallery forest along the streambeds—is exceptionally harsh. If you are a primate used to greener terrain, you must adjust your behavior to survive. Our earliest hominin (meaning bipedal ape) ancestors evolved more than five million years ago during the Miocene, an epoch of extreme drying that saw the creation of vast tracts of grassland. Tropical primates on the perimeter of their range no longer had plentiful fruits and year-round streams and lakes. They were forced to adapt, to range farther in their search for food and water, to take advantage of other resources. In short, to get creative.

In 2007 Jill Pruetz, an anthropologist at Iowa State University, reported that a Fongoli female chimp named Tumbo was seen two years earlier, less than a mile from where we are right now, sharpening a branch with her teeth and wielding it like a spear. She used it to stab at a bush baby—a pocket-size, tree-dwelling nocturnal primate that springs from branch to branch like a grasshopper. Until that report, the regular making of tools for hunting and killing mammals had been considered uniquely human behavior. Over a span of 17 days at the start of the 2006 rainy season, Pruetz saw the chimps hunt bush babies 13 times. There were 18 sightings in 2007. It would appear the chimps are getting creative.

There are individuals who are uncomfortable with Pruetz's tales of spear-wielding chimps, and not all of them are bush babies. Harvard professor of biological anthropology Richard Wrangham, who has studied chimpanzee aggression in Uganda's Kibale National Park, has been skeptical. Wrangham is widely known for his "demonic male" theory, which holds that the savage murders carried out by male chimps while policing their turf are suggestive of a violent nature at the core of man. Primatologist Craig Stanford, author of The Hunting Apes, also downplays the importance of Pruetz's findings. "This behavior is fascinating, but the observations are so preliminary that it merits only a short note in a journal."

The report ran in the major journal Current Biology, and people seemed to find it interesting. In the week that followed, Pruetz's findings were featured in more than 300 news and science outlets, including New Scientist, the New York Times, the Washington Post, and NPR's Science Friday. The Smithsonian Institution requested one of the spears. In short, it was the most widely talked about primatology news since the reports of infanticide and cannibalism at Jane Goodall's site at Gombe in the 1970s.

Pruetz and I watch the chimps climb from their nests. A large male hangs from a low branch by one arm, swinging gently, in no hurry. The silhouette is utterly erect, arrestingly humanoid. He lets go, drops to the ground, and moves off across the plateau. The symbolism is impossible to miss. Here is a chimpanzee, thought by many to be the closest thing we have to a living model of our early hominin ancestors, literally dropping from the trees and moving out into the open expanses of the savanna. It is as though we are watching time-lapse footage of human evolution, the dawn of man unfolding in our binoculars.

Chimps that live on the ground, rather than in the safety of treetops, tend to be wary of large strangers. Jill Pruetz spent four years getting the Fongoli chimpanzees accustomed to the presence of humans—what primatologists call habituating them—and the past three summers observing them. Six days a week, from dawn to dusk, she follows the chimps.

It is not glamorous work. It's hot and filthy and exhausting. Home is a mud-walled hut and a drop toilet shared with 30 Fongoli villagers. Dinner is peanut sauce over rice, except when it's peanut sauce over millet. If the chimps wander unusually far, Pruetz gets back to the village so late that her portion has long ago been fed to the dogs. Sometimes, rather than hike the five miles back to camp, she curls up and sleeps on the ground (or takes a nap in an abandoned chimp nest). She has gotten malaria seven times.

Yet you rarely meet people who love what they do as much as Pruetz does. Right now she is sitting on the ground, jotting notes with one hand and slapping sweat bees with the other. Blood from a blister has soaked through the heel of her sock. To listen to Pruetz, we might as well be in Paris. "Sometimes," she says, scratching a bite, "I think I'm going to wake up and it's all a dream." The payoffs have been dramatic. In addition to using tools to hunt, Fongoli chimps have been exhibiting some other novel behaviors: soaking in a water hole, passing the afternoon in caves.

At 24 square miles, Fongoli is the largest home range of any habituated chimpanzee group ever studied. (Jane Goodall's Gombe chimps, by comparison, roam over five square miles.) Craig Stanford likens foraging over a large range to knowing one's way around an enormous supermarket. Like Pruetz, he believes the chimpanzees are not foraging at random, but moving with foresight and intent. "You don't stroll down the aisles hoping to catch a glimpse of the broccoli. You know where each item is, and in which months seasonal foods are likely to be in stock." The same, he thinks, holds true for chimpanzees.

"Ecological intelligence" is the name of the theory that some primates, including those of our lineage, have evolved larger, more complex brains because it helped them adapt to the challenges of surviving in a less giving habitat. "The first push toward a larger brain," writes Stanford, "may have been the result of a patchily distributed, high-quality diet and the cognitive mapping capabilities that accompanied it."

High-quality, meaning: meat. The shift toward eating more meat may have played an important role in the evolution of a larger, more sophisticated brain. Here's how the thinking goes. Brains are, to use terminology coined by researchers Leslie Aiello and Peter Wheeler, "expensive tissue." To keep a bigger brain functioning, some other organ or system needed to become more streamlined. A chimp doesn't have to eat nearly as much of an energy-rich food like meat as he would of low-nutrient plant matter. Expending less energy on digestion means you can afford to apply it elsewhere, perhaps to power an expanded brain.

As if on cue, a female named Tia appears in our sight lines 20 feet ahead, sitting on a boulder pulling raw flesh off a limb like a picnicker with a comically huge drumstick. Pruetz raises her binoculars, then lowers them again. "Holy crap! It's a bushbuck." She can tell from the white markings on the hide, a long strip of which hangs from the leg. "That's the biggest animal I've seen them eat." She surmises it was a fawn. Gombe chimps have occasionally killed bushbuck fawns as well. They are the largest prey on record for a chimpanzee.

Hunting at Fongoli coincides with the rainy season, and Pruetz has some theories about why this is. As water holes fill and shoots and other greenery become more plentiful with the rain, the land provides enough sustenance to support a sizable group of chimps on the move. There are advantages to traveling in a large group. A single chimp or small group that heads out on its own can easily lose track of the community for days at a time. For a chimp, sociability is important. Pruetz points to an estrous female named Sissy, her pink swelling bobbing behind her like a bustle. "Otherwise you miss out on that." She means, of course, the chance to mate, to pass along your genetic material.

Right now, two rains into the rainy season, there's enough water and food for the group to travel together, but just barely. Pruetz believes it is this scenario—large crowd competing for limited resources—that has pushed certain members of the community to try their hand at novel things.

Things like sharpening sticks to spear bush babies. It is a different kind of hunting than the organized colobus monkey raids documented at other sites. A chimp who comes across a dead, hollow tree limb—promising real estate for day-sleeping bush babies—will sometimes break off a branch from a nearby tree, remove the leaves and the flimsy ends, and then use its teeth to whittle one end to a point. This tool is then stabbed into an opening in the tree limb until the animal inside is out of commission. Whereupon it is eaten, head first, Pruetz says, "like a Popsicle."

Adult female and juvenile chimps—the low rankers—have been seen hunting bush babies most often. This makes sense. Dominant males are not generous with food they find, and no one can force them to share. Fongoli females appear to have taken matters into their own hands.

Now here comes Farafa, her baby Fanta on her back and a bushbuck haunch in her jaws. It's a complicated, messy piece of anatomy, with sinew and hide hanging off one end. Tia sees her and stands up to move away. My last glimpse of Tia is with her now bare bone brandished above her head, standing erect, as though reenacting the "dawn of man" scene from 2001: A Space Odyssey.

Fongoli chimps have a flair for the dramatic.

The media ruckus spurred by Pruetz's report of spear-wielding chimps made her absence as a speaker at last year's Mind of the Chimpanzee conference perplexing. She was in the audience but wasn't invited to present a paper. On top of that, Pruetz's post-doc adviser, Cambridge University primatologist William McGrew, made a passing reference to the Fongoli hunting behaviors but did not credit her with the work. He credited her co-author and former student Paco Bertolani, now a student of McGrew's. Bertolani witnessed the first—of now 40—observed instances of the behavior, but scientific etiquette would call for the principal investigator to be mentioned. McGrew apologized afterward. Some primatologists took Pruetz to task for overstating the bush-baby-spearing behavior. When your prey is smaller than your hand, are you really hunting? Male primatologists tend to make the distinction along gender lines: The traditional view has been that chimpanzee hunting—along with aggression and murder—is the domain of the male. "Small mammals that females and juveniles obtain are 'gathered,' " Pruetz says, "while males 'hunt.' " Females, the thinking goes, don't hunt because they don't need to; male chimps are thought by some to trade meat for sex, but Pruetz hasn't seen this at Fongoli.

I'm going to weigh in, for what it's worth. One day while accompanying Pruetz, I watched a young chimp named David at a bush baby tree hole. We heard him well before we saw him: a resounding THONK that caused Pruetz to stop in her tracks and go, "Hold on, hold the phone, that sounds like a spear!" We looked around, and there he was, standing on a branch in a kino tree, holding on with one hand and waving a thick, three-foot-long stick over his head. He slammed it down into the hole, then examined the tip. Concluding that no one was home, he took off, leaving the spear protruding from the hole. The violence and foresight with which he undertook his task did not suggest an animal quietly foraging. His aim was unmistakable: to kill, or at least incapacitate, whatever was in there.

Many of Pruetz's reviewers tripped over the word spear. For one thing, it suggests a projectile and a more Cro-Magnon-esque technique: something aimed and thrown. (Pruetz says she had spearfishing in mind when she chose the noun.) Stanford suggested bludgeon. But bludgeons are blunt, not sharpened. Another offered dagger. Someone else wanted bayonet. In the end, Pruetz took spear out of the title and worded her text more cautiously, making reference to a tool "used in the manner of a spear." (The press picked up on it anyway. "Spear-Wielding Chimps Snack on Skewered Bushbabies" ran the giddy NewScientist.com headline.)

I asked Pruetz if perhaps she's been the victim of an alpha male primatologist conspiracy. She laughed it off. "Yeah, maybe I'm not pant-grunting enough." (The pant-grunt is an expression of submissiveness; a chimp that encounters a higher ranked peer and fails to pant-grunt is asking for trouble.) It's also possible that humans are simply resistant to the notion that anyone other than a human makes weapons for killing.

You would think that primatologists, more than other scientists, would be comfortable with the shifting boundaries between chimpanzee and human. Their gene sequences are around 95 to 98 percent the same. (This is less meaningful than it sounds. Humans share more than 80 percent of their gene sequence with mice, and maybe 40 percent with lettuce.) A recent exploration of the human and chimpanzee genomes, undertaken by David Reich and colleagues at the Broad Institute of MIT and Harvard in Cambridge, Massachusetts, suggests that chimpanzees and early hominins may have interbred after the two lines initially split. Yet there seems to be a lingering discomfort with findings that, as Pruetz puts it, "chip away at our superiority."

Since the earliest days of primatology, discoveries of chimp behavior that threaten to undermine the specialness—the apartness—of human beings have met with rancorous resistance. Many anthropologists bristled at the first references to chimpanzee "culture"—a concept widely accepted today. Jane Goodall's first reports of chimps making tools (for termite fishing) were as contentious in their day as more recent claims of teaching chimps to use language. At the Great Ape Trust, in Des Moines, Iowa, a bonobo named Kanzi has learned to communicate through symbols. Kanzi commands about 380 symbols and shows signs of understanding their meaning. When he was frightened by a beaver, an animal for which he had no symbol, he selected the symbols for "water" and "gorilla" (an animal that scares him). Critics say the communications are purely conditioned behavior. Novel uses of symbols—e.g., "water gorilla"—are dismissed as coincidence.

An exception to these attitudes has long been found at the Primate Research Institute at Kyoto University. Japanese primatology is consistent with the Buddhist precept that humans are a part of the natural world, not above or separate from it. At the Mind of the Chimpanzee conference in Chicago last year, Tetsuro Matsuzawa spoke of primatology's early years, when scientists "didn't know how much close we are." He added, with unabashed awe: "So close, like horse and zebra." In the background of one Japanese researcher's slides was what looked to be a chimp wearing glasses. I turned to the man next to me. "I'm sorry," I said. "I must be losing my mind. Was that chimp wearing glasses?" The man told me the Japanese primatologists had noticed the chimp was nearsighted and had him outfitted with prescription lenses. (I later learned he was wrong: This chimp was just playing with the glasses. There once was a research chimp whose caretakers ordered her glasses, but that was in the U.S., not Japan.)

No one around Fongoli is sending chimps to the optician, but the animals are accorded a remarkable amount of respect by locals. Kerri Clavette, Pruetz's intern, interviewed villagers about their beliefs regarding chimpanzees and whether they hunted them. Among the region's main tribes—the Malinke, Bedik, Bassari, and Jahanka—chimps, compared with monkeys, have an elevated, almost human status. "Chimpanzees came from man, as they have similar hearts," a villager told Clavette. Behaviors normally associated with a baser nature—such as walking on all fours—were given a respectful spin: "Chimpanzees walk on their knuckles to keep their hands clean to eat with." Chimpanzee origin myths feature humans running off into the woods for some reason—war, fear of circumcision, fear of being punished for fishing on Saturday—and staying there so long that they turn into chimpanzees.

Despite a local history of killing chimpanzees for medicinal reasons—the meat laid on a person's arm or eaten for strength, the brains prepared with couscous to treat mental illness—villagers rarely hunt chimpanzees in eastern Senegal today. Sadly, the taboo against eating one's almost kin has broken down in central Africa, where turmoil has worsened dire economic circumstances and chimps are sold as bush meat.

Attitudes in the West have been shifting gradually over the past few decades. The sequencing of the chimp genome, completed in 2005, has focused attention anew. New Zealand, the Netherlands, Sweden, and the United Kingdom have all passed legislation limiting experimentation on great apes, and the Balearic Islands in Spain passed a resolution in 2007 granting them basic legal rights. In 2006 an Austrian animal rights organization submitted an application to a district court in Mödling to appoint a legal guardian for a chimp named Hiasl. The strategy was to establish "legal person" status for the hairy defendant. (The judge was sympathetic but refused.) It is perhaps less problematic to view the situation as does The Third Chimpanzee author Jared Diamond: not that chimps are a kind of human, but that humans are a kind of chimp.

The chimp named Sissy sits motionless and hunched at a low termite mound twenty feet from us.

Only her right arm moves, pushing a saba vine probe into a hole and gently withdrawing it, with termites clinging to it. She raises it carefully to her mouth like a pensioner spooning soup. The mound is across an open lay of pebbly, brick-colored laterite that gives the ground the look of a clay tennis court.

Like fly-fishing, termite fishing is a meditative, deceptively nuanced activity. I tried it a few times and could not even find an active hole. My probe never sinks farther than an inch or so; the chimps regularly bury theirs a foot or more. They can find active holes by smell, inserting a probe and then sniffing the end of it for the smell of soldier termite pheromone.

Fongoli chimps eat termites year-round, not just in the dry season, when other foods are scarce. Termites make up, at bare minimum, 6 percent of the Fongoli chimps' diet. We know this because most evenings at six o'clock research assistant Sally Macdonald sits down with a set of sieves and buckets, and one or two ziplock bags of the chimp feces that the researchers bring back most days. She scans the fruit seeds, estimates the percentage of fiber from leaves and shoots, and takes note of bones and termite pincers. "Science in all its glamour," deadpans Macdonald, whose mother sends ziplock bags but does not know their fate.

A quick glimpse into the bucket reveals that saba fruit is the chimps' mainstay this time of year, an adult averaging 30 to 40 a day. The Fongoli record for saba seeds in a single fecal sample—499, compared with an average of 75—probably belongs to a male named Mamadou. Which may explain why Mamadou is, quoting Pruetz, "especially gassy."

Pruetz's Ph.D. student Stephanie Bogart says part of the reason chimps fish termites is that they're an exceptionally calorific food. A 3.5-ounce serving of termites has 613 calories, compared with chicken's 166. But 3.5 ounces of soldier termites is hundreds of insects, fished piecemeal from a mound. It's like eating cake one crumb at a time. The chimps must really like them.

Sissy gets up from her spot at the termite mound to select a new tool. She breaks off a length of vine, inspects it. Satisfied, she sticks it in her mouth and carries it back to the mound like a seamstress holding pins between her lips. Pruetz and others argue that female chimps are not only more skilled than males at crafting and using tools, but also more diligent. Craig Stanford agrees that it might well have been our female ancestors who first steered the culture toward tool use. Early tools for foraging, he imagines, gave way to tools for scavenging meat from carcasses killed and abandoned by large carnivores. These tools in turn may have paved the way for implements for killing prey. Which makes Pruetz's observations of chimps sharpening sticks and using them to whack bush babies all the more arresting: Fongoli's females seem to have skipped ahead to the killing tools. Barbecue tongs can't be all that far behind.

Pruetz and I are sitting along a forested ravine where the chimps rest during the day's hottest hours. The vegetation is thicker here. We watch a slender green vine snake move through the grass. Birds are calling over our heads. One says cheerio; one actually says tweet. A third says whoop whoop whoop whoop whoop, like Curly of the Three Stooges. (When I ask what that one is, Pruetz replies, not at all sarcastically: "a bird." She is a woman of singular interests.)

Pruetz directs my gaze to a tangle of saba vines. Where I see a dark mass, she is able to distinguish six animals. The woman has chimp vision. (It's a condition that lingers long after she gets back to Iowa. "I get home and I'm looking for chimps on campus.") The animals can be so well hidden and so quiet that even Pruetz has trouble finding them. She sometimes locates them by smell—"chimp" being a potent variant of B.O. "Yesterday I thought I smelled chimp," Pruetz says, "but it was me."

The scene in the vines is one of drowsy, familial contentment. Yopogon is grooming Mamadou. Siberut is leaning against a tree trunk, rubbing his two big toes together, as he often does. A pair of youngsters swing on vines, flashing in and out of an angled shaft of sun. One uses a foot to push off from a tree trunk, spinning himself around. The other swings from vine to vine, Tarzan-style. They are almost painfully cute.

A chimp called Mike lies on his back in a hammock of branches, legs bent, one ankle crossed atop the opposite knee. One arm is behind his head, the other is crooked at the elbow, the hand hanging slack from the wrist, in the manner of a cowboy slouched against a fence. We stare at each other for a full ten seconds. Partly because his pose is so familiarly human and partly because of the way he holds my gaze, I find myself feeling a connection with Mike.

I confess this to Pruetz, who admits to similar feelings. She cares about the Fongoli chimps as one cares about family. She sends excited emails when a baby is born and worries when the elderly and nearly blind Ross disappears for more than a week. But she does not reveal this side of herself at conferences. There it's all lingo and statistics, pairwise affinity indexes and "blended whimper pouts." "Especially with male chimp researchers," she says.

One of the first things primatology students are taught is to avoid anthropomorphism. Because chimps look and act so much like us, it is easy to misread their actions and expressions, to project humanness where it may not belong. For example, I catch Siberut looking toward the sky in what I take to be a contemplative manner, as though pondering life's higher meaning. What he's actually pondering is life's higher saba fruits. Pruetz points some out in the branches above Siberut.

Yet it is impossible to spend any time with chimpanzees and not be struck by how similar they are to us. I've been keeping a list of things I have seen or read or heard Pruetz say that drive home this point in unexpected ways. I had not known that chimpanzee yawns are contagious—both among each other and to humans. I had known that chimps laugh, but I did not know that they get upset if someone laughs at them. I knew that captive chimps spit, but I hadn't known that they, like us, seem to consider spitting the most extreme expression of disgust—one reserved, interestingly, for humans. I knew that a captive ape might care for a kitten if you gave one to it, but had not heard of a wild chimpanzee taking one in, as Tia did with a genet kitten. The list goes on. Chimps get up to get snacks in the middle of the night. They lie on their backs and do "the airplane" with their children. They kiss. Shake hands. Pick their scabs before they're ready.

The taboo on anthropomorphizing seems odd, given that the closeness—evolutionary, genetic, and behavioral—between chimpanzees and humans is the very reason we study chimps so obsessively. Some thousand-plus studies have been published on chimpanzees. As a colleague of Pruetz's once said to her, "A chimp takes a crap in the forest, and someone publishes a paper about it." (No exaggeration. One paper has a section on chimpanzees' use of "leaf napkins": "This hygienic technology is directed to their bodily fluids (blood, semen, feces, urine, snot). ... Their use ranges from delicate dabbing to vigorous wiping."

As for the chimps, they are not nearly as intrigued by the ape-human connection. While we've been observing them, they have largely ignored us, occasionally shooting a glance over one shoulder as they move through the brush. There is no fear in this glance, but neither is there curiosity or any sort of social overture. It is a glance that says simply, Them again.

Even Mike. He just turned away from my gaze and pointedly, or so it seemed, rolled over to turn his back on me. In hindsight I would have to say that the reason Mike had been looking at me was that I happened to be in his line of vision.

The chimps begin making their nests, breaking off leafy branches and dragging them into the treetops. Pruetz will wait until all are bedded down before turning to head back. We sit and listen to their "nest grunts"—soft, breathy calls that seem to express nothing more than the deep contentment one feels at the end of a day, in a comfortable bed.




-
By Mary Roach
Photograph by Frans Lanting
Apr 2008

Thursday, April 17, 2008

Israel Report - Apr 18, 2008

THIS WEEK'S NEWS:

1. GAZA WAR AND TERROR ALERT LEADING UP TO PASSOVER
2. ARAB LEADERS CONFIRM THEIR INTENTION TO DESTROY ISRAEL
3. JEWISH PEOPLE CELEBRATE PASSOVER
4. ISRAEL IN SEVERE WATER SHORTAGE
5. BRIEFS
6. HISTORICAL FLASHBACK: DECEMBER 1947



* * * * * * * * * * * *

1. GAZA WAR AND TERROR ALERT LEADING UP TO PASSOVER

On Saturday evening the Jewish Passover celebrations begin. Due to the increased population concentrations in parks, hotels, beaches and shopping malls, the danger of a terror attack is always bigger at these times. This time the holiday is followed not long after by the celebrations marking Israel’s 60th anniversary. It comes in a period of increased tension in the area.

Israeli authorities have put the security forces on the highest alert and warned the population to be on guard. Travel recommendations and restrictions for those who plan to travel abroad have also been issued. Around 10,000 Israelis are expected to travel to the beaches in Egyptian Sinai, but have been warned to change their plans. According to reports, Egyptian forces are chasing several terrorist cells that plan to target the beach hotels. Defense Minister Ehud Barak stated: "The threats against Israeli tourists in Sinai are real and serious."

Also internationally, security has been beefed up on Israeli and Jewish institutions. There is fear that Hizb’Allah will use the holiday to strike Jews in revenge for the killing of one of their leaders, Imad Mughniyeh, which they claim Israel was responsible for. Hizb’Allah has sleeper cells around the world and may also cooperate with Al Qaeda, the Iranians, or Syrians to perform an attack.

On Wednesday three Israeli soldiers were killed in Gaza when they acted against terrorist approaching the border and the nearby Jewish settlements. During the last couple of days around 20 Palestinian Arabs have been killed by Israeli forces that are operating to end the firing of Kassam rockets and cross border attacks. Most of them were armed terrorists, but a Reuter photographer was also mistakenly killed. Israel has regretted the incident.

Comments:
Israel is a tiny country; some 500 kilometers by 200 kilometers. It is surrounded by Arab states and a sea. In order to leave this country, at least as a Jew, the only safe way is by air. Due to its little size, by the time youth finish school, they already have visited all parts of the land. Two to three years in the military, which reminds them of the sensitive security situation, and the constant threat of terror, add to the desire to get out and discover the world; to get away from the feeling of being closed in and the feeling of insecurity.

It is therefore a tragic experience when Israeli Jews traveling abroad discover that also there, they have to be careful - this time even in showing their Israeli identity. With Hizb’Allah, Al Qaeda, and now even Hamas threatening to kill Jews wherever they are, Israeli authorities have given the population practical advice as to how to behave abroad in order to avoid undesired attention and to protect themselves as best they can. Contrast this with travelers from other countries who walk around in groups, waving their national flags and singing their anthems. Israel is different in many ways. In the end most Israelis find out that the security their own state can give them, in spite of its lacks, is by far the best alternative.

There is a weekly satirical program in Israel called "Eretz Nehederet" ("Magnificent Land"). Last week, after a major nation-wide security drill ended, they made a clip on Israel preparing for peace: How should inhabitants behave in case of peace? The piece itself may have been more or less successful, but the point is that coming up with such an idea could perhaps not have happened anywhere else in the world. It would not have been "fun" anywhere else. One may say that it would not reflect reality as well as it does in Israel. So Israel is indeed different – but still "eretz nehederet."



2. ARAB LEADERS CONFIRM THEIR INTENTION TO DESTROY ISRAEL

Lately several Arab leaders have stated bluntly or indicated that the destruction of Israel is their goal. MEMRI reports that the representative of the Palestinian Authority in Lebanon, Abbas Zaki, said the following in an interview with NBN TV on April 9: "The PLO is the sole representative of the Palestinian people, and it has not changed its platform even one iota." Zaki apparently refers to the supposed cancellation of the paragraphs in the Palestinian charter that call for Israel’s destruction. They were supposed to have been cancelled in 1998, and the Western world deals with the PLO as if they were. But here Zaki confirms that the paragraphs have never been cancelled; the goal is still Israel’s destruction and Arab domination from the Jordan River to the Mediterranean.

During the Arab summit in Damascus last month, Libyan leader Mohammed Gadaffi made some very precise and revealing statements. MEMRI reports that in a series of rhetorical questions Gadaffi effectively nailed his Arab brothers for being hypocritical in saying that they are for a two-state solution: "Whatever happened to the [Palestinian] cause we had before 1967? Were we lying to ourselves or to the world?...Does Palestine consist of only the West bank and Gaza?" Gadaffi went on to ask that if the existence of a Jewish state on the 1948 borders is acceptable, why did the Arab world not recognize Israel before the Six Day War in 1967.

In a Gaza mosque last Friday, the Hamas cleric Yunis Al-Astal threatened the majority of the western world specifically mentioning Rome, Europe and the Americas. Rome, the capitol of the crusaders, he said, will be conquered and serve as an advanced post to take the rest of the continent. "I believe that our children, our grandchildren, will inherit our jihad and our sacrifices," Al-Astal declared.

Comments:
Gadaffi finished his tirade of rhetorical questions by saying: "This is strange. It is illogical. It doesn’t make sense." Indeed, he is right! What is even more strange and illogical is that the international community accepts such argumentation uncritically. But regarding the Arabs, there are strong indications to the fact that their acceptance of the two-state solution is only a tactical maneuver. When the time is right, the destruction of Israel will again take priority.

For political reasons such as internal Arab unrest and international support, some Arab leaders may choose to go along with the peace process for the time being. Certainly, PA leader Mahmoud Abbas, who has been made the symbol of a moderate Arab leader, awarding of medals to suicide bomber accomplices (see below) does nothing to ease such concerns. How should we logically reconcile the two images of him? According to Zaki, Gadaffi, and Al-Astal we should not even try. It is not logical – it is tactical.



3. JEWISH PEOPLE CELEBRATE PASSOVER

The Passover holiday will be celebrated this year between sunset on Saturday, April 19 and sunset on Saturday, April 26. The Passover ("Pesach" in Hebrew) celebrates the exodus of the Jewish people from Egypt. Jews are commanded to tell the story as if it had happened to them personally and not as a mere historical event, in order to emphasize the importance of the hard-won and precious freedom.

To keep the biblical command in Exodus 12:9 and 13:7, before Passover every Jewish household cleans its house thoroughly to remove any crumbs of "hametz", i.e. any food product that contains leavened wheat, oat, barley, rye, or spelt products. During the Passover, specially prepared unleavened bread – matzah - is being eaten. On the evening of Passover, families eat a special ceremonial meal, known as "seder". The guide for the "seder" is detailed in a book known as "Haggadah" ("narration"), which relates the story of the Exodus from Egypt. The intermediate days of Passover are not full public holidays, but schoolchildren are on holiday and many businesses are closed.



4. ISRAEL IN SEVERE WATER SHORTAGE

Israel is 350 million cubic meters of water short of supplying expected demands over the coming year, Haaretz writes. The emergency meeting, called by the Water Authority and the Israel Water Association, discussed a number of tough water-saving measures, including a complete ban on watering new municipal parks and gardens. The Water Authority intends to introduce new regulations restricting private water consumption. "In the next two or three years we'll have to learn to swim in empty swimming pools," said Professor Uri Shani, head of the Water Authority.

Water experts at the meeting predicted that over the next two years water levels would drop beneath red lines in both the mountain and coastal aquifers, which provide Israel with most of its water, causing an increase in their salinity. Israel's other major water reserve, Sea of Galilee, is expected to reach its lowest level ever next year. Minister of National Infrastructures Binyamin Ben Eliezer called for the capacity of water desalination plants to be increased by 200 million cubic meters. He also called for a number of sewage treatment plants that would provide water for agriculture, to be constructed.



5. BRIEFS

At the discretion of the PA president Mahmoud Abbas, PA awards two female terrorists with the PLO's highest medal, the Al Kuds Mark of Honor, JPost reports. One of them, a Hamas affiliate Ahlam Tamimi, is serving a life sentence for driving the suicide bomber who exploded himself in the Sbarro restaurant in Jerusalem in 2003, where 15 people (including 7 children) were killed. The other terrorist, Amra Muna, seduced a Jewish youngster Ophir Rahum to Ramallah where he was murdered. Likud MK Gideon Sa'ar commented that the report was "troubling and severe" news, but that it would continue a recent history of doublespeak from Abbas, which presented different intentions and narratives when speaking to Arab crowds and when addressing western diplomats...

A routine inspection of the Western wall stones revealed that some of them are falling apart, Ynet News writes. The stones crumbling are atop the upper wall – an addition built in the 19th century. The stones in the bottom wall, which date back to the days of the Second Temple, show no more than minor damage. Since the Halacha (the Jewish religious law) prevents removing or changing any of the Wall's stones, scaffolding will be erected in the area while the damaged stones are reinforced...

According to a recent Tourism Ministry report, 36 percent more tourists entered in Israel in March 2008 compared to March 2007. During the first three months of this year 44% more tourists entered in comparison to the first quarter of 2007. The Ministry's statement reported that Israel is prepared for the arrival of 80,000 tourists to Israel for Passover holiday. According to estimations, 2.8 million people will visit Israel by the end of 2008...

On the eve of Israel's 60th Independence Day, May 7, 2008, Jewish communities around the world will unite for the first time to sing Hatikva – Israel's national anthem – to break the world record of "most people singing an anthem simultaneously", IMRA reports. The event will take place at 22:50 Israel time. Schools, synagogues, youth groups, friends, families and individuals around the world are encouraged to submit original videos of their singing. "Hatikva is an anthem that unites the world's Jewry, and the mission of Live Hatikva is to bridge gaps of language and distance between Jewish people. My vision is to incorporate the Live Hatikva initiative into a worldwide annual tradition, growing each year…. This is a Jewish solidarity act that will strengthen our sense of belonging," said Galia Albin, the initiator of the project.



6. HISTORICAL FLASHBACK: DECEMBER 1947

The United States declares a total embargo on arms shipment to the Middle East. This comes in the wake of massive British arms sales to Arab nations in the region and hurts mainly the Jewish community in the soon-to-be Jewish state. After the UN decided a month earlier to establish a Jewish and an Arab state in the British Palestine Mandate, Arabs started attacking Jewish communities with increased force throughout the land. The Jews manage to smuggle a humble number of weapons past the British iron ring by dismantling them and reassembling and storing them in secret chambers (slicks) inside the Jewish settlements.

Thursday, April 10, 2008

Israel Report - 11 April 2008

THIS WEEK'S NEWS:
1. KILLING THE BENEFACTOR
2. BUSH PREPARING FOR THE DIVISION OF JERUSALEM
3. MOSLEM FEMALE SOLDIER ACCEPTED TO IAF ELITE UNIT
4. BRIEFS
5. HISTORICAL FLASHBACK: NOVEMBER 1947



* * * * * * * * * * * *

1. KILLING THE BENEFACTOR

On Wednesday this week four terrorists attacked the Nachal Oz fuel depot on the border with Gaza killing two civilian Israelis and wounding two others. Two of the terrorists were killed by Israeli soldiers who rushed to the scene. According to reports, a third was later killed in an aerial attack inside Gaza. The attack, according to a spokesman at Israel Defense Forces (IDF) was intended to cut the fuel supply and to abduct an Israeli soldier or civilian to be used as a bargain chip to release Palestinian Arab prisoners.

Israel is investigating how the terrorists were able to enter the fuel depot without being detected. One reason is that counter terror operations on the Gaza side of the fence have been minimized in an attempt to reduce tensions. Previously, Israel held a one kilometer no-go zone adjacent to the fence. The easing of this restriction has made it easier for terrorists to launch attacks on Israelis as have been seen lately by several incidents of shooting attacks including the killing of a kibbutz volunteer working on a field adjacent to the fence.

Israel says it holds Hamas responsible for the attack as this group is the ruling power in the Gaza Strip. An official Israeli statement said the attack proves that Hamas does not care about Gaza’s population. IDF sources said around four million liters of gasoline and diesel and unlimited supply of cooking fuel enter Gaza through Nachal Oz every week. Attacks like this increases the likelihood that Israel may close the fuel depot. It is hard for Prime Minister Olmert to explain to the Israeli public why Israelis have to die at the hands of Arabs to make sure the same Arabs receive fuel. But except for a closure as the incident is investigated, the Olmert government seems bent on keeping the fuel depot open.

Comment:
What is the logic behind an attack that targets one of the life lines for the Gaza population? In brief it may be explained like this: The attack is intended to lead Israel to cut of fuel supply to Gaza; Hamas will blame the ensuing increased suffering of the Arab population on Israel; the support for Hamas and "resistance" against Israel will increase; media, the UN and the international community will condemn Israel, and they will demand from Israel concessions to ease the suffering of the Palestinian Arabs.

The above is not a logical pattern of behavior, be it on the side of the Arab population or with regard to the international community. Still, we have seen this movie so many times now that we forget to ask questions. A major question is of course: What about the real culprits; the terrorists? What happened to them in this process?

There are a number of attitudes regarding how to deal with terrorists, and a dominant one is to not deal with them. Instead one should deal with the "moderates" or the "pragmatics" such as Mahmoud Abbas. According to this view, strengthening the moderates and improving living standards is the answer to terrorism. Meanwhile Israel will have to suffer the blows of terror in silence and make sure not to destroy the peace process. This could be called the view of real politik.

Another attitude which is gaining momentum in these days is to speak with the terrorists. This view believes the terrorists have grievances that can be addressed. When their claims are met, terrorism will cease. In order to maintain this view, its proponents have to ignore or explain away a comprehensive system of indoctrination, statements, and acts from the terrorists themselves that totally reject any acceptable basis for peace with Israel. There are those who would call this the attitude of the naïve

Finally there is a very simple view that says you have to keep culprits responsible for their acts. You have to bend their arm until they surrender. Following ancient patterns of human behavior this attitude says if someone tries to kill you, you are justified in defending yourself, and if need be, in killing the enemy. This view holds on to categories of right and wrong, just and unjust; it regards saving the life of innocents a duty and a moral obligation. This is the way Israel (and every other nation in her situation) would like to treat terrorism – but the international community says she cannot.



2. BUSH PREPARING FOR THE DIVISION OF JERUSALEM

According to Ha’aretz, when President George Bush visits Israel in May, he will not be visiting the Western Wall. Instead he will visit Massada, which was the last Jewish stronghold during the Great Rebellion against the Romans in the first century. US sources said they looked for a place that carried symbolic meaning, but would not stir controversy. The Western Wall is located in the Old City of Jerusalem, and is Judaism’s most holy site. It lies at the foot of the Temple Mount where both the First and the Second Temple stood.

Meanwhile, an article in World Net Daily describes how the US administration is pushing an agenda designed to divide Jerusalem. The Palestinian Arabs would be given sovereignty over negotiated parts of East Jerusalem including parts of the Temple Mount. They would be allowed to open official institutions and deploy police and security forces in the city. According to a top diplomatic source the US is "very deeply involved" in all aspects of the negotiations between Israel and the Palestinian Authority.

Comment:
By refusing to visit the Western Wall, Bush is, hopefully unwittingly, undermining the claims of the Jews to all parts of Israel. If the Western Wall is a "controversial" issue, Jewish presence in all parts of the land can be questioned. The Western Wall and the Temple Mount symbolizes the Jewish connection to the land of Israel more than anything else. Instead of undermining this connection, Bush should make a statement by visiting the place. This would send a message to all forces and entities that are currently involved in delegitimizing the Jewish state and its right to exist.



3. MOSLEM FEMALE SOLDIER ACCEPTED TO IAF ELITE UNIT

A female Moslem soldier has joined the Israeli Air Force (IAF) elite Airborne Combat Search and Rescue Unit 669, Ynet News reports. Unit 669 is considered one of the IDF's premier elite units. Its main function is to rescue and extricate wounded soldiers from combat zones, under heavy enemy fire in most cases. The unit also often helps rescue civilians injured during various catastrophic incidents. Soldiers serving in this unit require an extremely high security classification. A Moslem soldier has consequently never served in this unit in either an administrative or combat capacity.

The Moslem female soldier, a resident of an Arab village in northern Israel, volunteered to serve in the IDF. (Arabs are not obligated to serve in the IDF.) She completed her medic training course with top honors and was immediately placed with unit 669. The unit was stunned to learn of her Muslim origins, and an investigation later revealed that an error was made concerning her security classification. In spite of the error, the unit's commander insisted that she remain due to her exceptional skills.



4. BRIEFS

The Swedish Foreign Minister Carl Bildt angered Israeli diplomatic officials for comparing the opposition leader Binyamin Netanyahu with Hamas, JPost reports. In an interview with a Swedish radio station Bildt was asked how it was possible for Israel to make peace with the Palestinian Arabs while Hamas controlled Gaza strip. "It is possible to make peace without Hamas the same way it is possible to make peace without Netanyahu on the Israeli side," Bildt answered. "It is a horrible and stupid statement that displays complete ignorance about the Middle East," a Foreign Ministry official commented. "He clearly does not understand the difference between the leader of an Israeli political party and a group that is engaging in the terror that threatens Europe as much as Israel."

On Wednesday security forces were on alert for a possible terrorist attack in Jerusalem after receiving intelligence information that a Palestinian Arab terrorist was trying to infiltrate the capital to carry out an attack, Jerusalem Newswire reports. Police were carrying out spot-checks on cars in Jerusalem, and those wanting to enter the city, tying up traffic in and around the city. After three hours the alert was lowered and police announced they had captured a number of men suspected of planning an attack. The terror alert comes several days after Israel removed 50 roadblocks and barriers throughout Judea and Samaria in response to pressure from US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice...

The oldest arched gate in the world, located in Ashkelon, has been restored, JPost writes. The Canaanite gate was constructed around 1,850 BC as a part of the port city's fortifications and is believed to be the most ancient arched gate in the world. The mostly brick and limestone gate is 15 meters long, more than 2 meters wide and almost 4 meters high. The gate's base was uncovered in 1992 during a Harvard University archeological dig. The Israeli Antiquities Authority (IAA) reconstructed the gate. The $700,000 project is a part of a long-term plan to convert the history-rich area to a more extensive archeological park...

On Sunday Israel launched a nation-wide home-front preparedness drill, meant to simulate responses to war and other emergency situations, including a large-scale terror attack or natural catastrophe. On Tuesday at 10 AM sirens were sounded throughout Israel as a part of the drill. As part of the exercise, school children, government ministry employees and local authority workers were required to enter shelters or fortified areas. Only two days after Israel had started its drill, a nation-wide drill was announced by Syria. Top Israeli officials – including Prime Minister Ehud Olmert and Defense Minister Ehud Barak – have reassured that Israel's drill does not mean there are any aggressive intentions toward Syria...



5. HISTORICAL FLASHBACK: NOVEMBER 1947

Sherut Ha-Avir (Air Service), is established in Israel. It consists of a few light planes and fighters and is formed as the air wing of Hagana (the pre-state defense organization). When the state of Israel is proclaimed on May 14, 1948, Sherut Ha-Avir becomes the Israeli Air Force (IAF). During the War of Independence, volunteers from abroad help train the Jewish pilots. Under the command of Moddy Alon, IAF’s First Combat Squadron records its first major achievement by shooting down two Egyptian Dakota planes that had been bombing Tel Aviv.



* * * * * * * * * * * *
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Thursday, April 03, 2008

Israel Report - 4 April 2008

THIS WEEK'S NEWS:
1. NEW TENSIONS ON ISRAEL’S NORTHERN BORDER – MEDIA SAYS
2. THE DEMONIZATION PROCESS OF ISRAEL IS SUCCEEDING
3. JEWISH REFUGEES FROM ARAB COUNTRIES RECOGNIZED BY US CONGRESS
4. BRIEFS
5. HISTORICAL FLASHBACK: DECEMBER 1948



* * * * * * * * * * * *

1. NEW TENSIONS ON ISRAEL’S NORTHERN BORDER – MEDIA SAYS

A report in the London-based Arabic newspaper Al-Quds al-Arabi on Wednesday that Syria was amassing soldiers and tanks on the border with Israel has created headlines in all major Israeli media outlets the last two days. According to the report, Syria fears an Israeli attack on Hizb’Allah and Syria.

Israel, on their side, has registered increasing Hizb’Allah activities in southern Lebanon, including south of the Litani River which according to UN Resolution 1701 is to be clean of Hizb’Allah presence. UNIFIL forces are patrolling this area, but are not allowed to enter the villages without permission from the Lebanese Army which also has a presence in the area. Hizb’Allah has taken advantage of this and sent its members into the villages. The organization has replenished and improved its rocket stock and is now able to shoot rockets as far south as to Dimona in the Negev Desert, where Israel’s nuclear reactor is located.

Israel has warned that they will hit back hard on both Hizb’Allah and their sponsor Syria in case of an attack. The forty-day mourning period for the slain Hizb’Allah terrorist Imad Mugniyeh ended some 10 days ago, and Hizb’Allah has often retaliated after such a mourning period has ended. Israel has not taken responsibility for the killing of Mughniyeh, but a report from the Syrian investigators soon to be released is said to blame Israel’s Mossad and Arab cooperators for the killing.

Defense Minister, Ehud Barak, and Deputy Chief of Staff, Dan Harel, have repeatedly said Israel has no intention of attacking Syria. Harel reasoned that the Syrian movements on the Israeli border do not seem to be of an offensive character and that there is no reason for "unusal tension." In spite of that, Harel added a word of warning: "Anyone who wants to hurt Israel, should remember that we are the strongest country in the region, and the response will be painful."

Comment:
Harel’s choice of words "unusual tension" is worth taking note of. Tension on Israeli borders is a constant factor – but at the moment the tension, it should be implied, is normal. Most analysts believe Syria is not interested in a war with Israel at the moment. Syria does not have the power to confront Israel alone. Neither can they expect major assistance from Iran as this nation would not want to draw fire towards themselves and thereby put their nuclear installations at risk – at least not before they have produced atomic bombs.

The wild card in this puzzle is Hizb’Allah. According to reports in the last month, there might be tensions between this organization and the Syrians. If Hizb’Allah initiates an attack against Israel on its own, it might lead to a regional conflict. Since even Hizb’Allah is dependent on Iranian backing, such an attack would seem premature for now. It is therefore more likely that Hizb’Allah will target Jewish institutions or individuals abroad. In the Middle East however, unlikely things often happen, and circumstances change very quickly. Therefore, Israel is, as is their custom, hoping for the best and preparing for the worst.



2. THE DEMONIZATION PROCESS OF ISRAEL IS SUCCEEDING

In a comprehensive BBC survey that attempted to rank 14 of the world’s nations according to their global image Israel came out next to last surpassed only by Iran. Other nations included in the survey were Pakistan, North Korea, India, Russia, Brazil, the EU, and the US. Seventeen thousand participants in 34 countries participated in the survey.

The BBC survey was released the same week that the World Health Organization (WHO) published a report criticizing Israel for letting critically ill people die in Gaza by delaying permits to hospitals in Israel. According to the WHO, 32 Gazans died since October 2007 because they did not get urgent medical treatment.

Colonel Nir Press who heads the Coordination and Liaison Administration for Gaza said in response that the main reasons for the delays are the constant terror threats and the repeated attacks on the Israeli check posts through which the sick people need to pass. "Hamas uses humanitarian needs to attack us," Press said, adding that two middle-aged mothers who asked for permits last year turned out to be would-be suicide bombers. Many of the instances quoted in the WHO report were people who had received health care in Israel several times, but died anyway because of the severity of the illness, Press stated.

Comment:
For several decades, but with increasing intensity since the year 2000, Israel has been portrayed very negatively in various reports: in media, the UN, and in educational programs and public debates, especially in the Western world. This campaign which in its most extreme form demonizes and undermines Israel’s existence, uses half-truths and distortions to build this image. It is interesting that viewers of the BBC are the ones to convey such a negative view of Israel. BBC is infamous for its one-sided coverage of the conflict in the Middle East.

The story about permits for ill people in Gaza has flip sides that seldom are focused on. First, it is important to point out that getting a permit became harder after Hamas took power in Gaza – with the increase in terror attacks on Israel followed a stricter control of entries into Israel. Moreover, just to fill in a blank, Egypt does not allow a single ill Gazan to cross its border at Rafah, however thousands receive permits into Israel.

It is therefore a peculiar phenomenon that Israeli soldiers have to endanger their own lives by manning the check posts at which Hamas shoots, in order to help Arabs in need of treatment; it is a peculiar phenomenon that Gazans fire rockets at Israeli civilians and then ask to be treated in the hospitals where their victims are hospitalized; it is a peculiar phenomenon that the international community criticizes Israel for defending their citizens while remaining mum when rockets rain down on Sderot; it is a peculiar phenomenon that Israel is demanded to ease restrictions and help the Palestinian Arabs when these, in the end, turn the "help" against Israel.

It is indeed a peculiar phenomenon that on the 60th anniversary of the Jewish State, the only truly democratic state in the Middle East has to fight for something as self evident as the right to exist. Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni said last week: "Even if things are not said aloud, a process is taking place below the surface that negates the State of Israel’s legitimacy as a national home for the Jewish people. And if we don’t say it aloud, we cannot deal with it." Imagine any other Foreign Minister saying the same about his country!



3. JEWISH REFUGEES FROM ARAB COUNTRIES RECOGNIZED BY US CONGRESS

On Tuesday the US House of representatives approved an unprecedented resolution granting recognition to Jewish refugees from Arab countries that were forced to flee their homes in the aftermath of the creation of the state of Israel, EJPress reports. The resolution urges the President to ensure that when the issue of Middle East refugees is discussed in international forums, any reference to Palestinian Arab refugees be matched by a similarly explicit reference to Jewish and other refugee populations.

"Far fewer people are aware of the injustice faced by Jewish refugees from Arab lands and Iran. Many Jews saw their communities, which had existed vibrantly for centuries systematically dismantled. They lost their resources, their homes, and their heritage sites, fleeing in the face of persecution, pogroms, revolutions and brutal dictatorships," declared Mike Ferguson, one of the Congressmen who introduced the resolution.



4. BRIEFS

A children's puppet show aired on Hamas TV on Monday featured a child stabbing US President George Bush to death and turning the White House into a mosque, Israel Insider writes. In the sketch, the child confronts the President: "I have come to take revenge with this sword – revenge for my mother and my sisters. You are a criminal, Bush! You are despicable. You made me an orphan! You took everything from me, Bush! I must take revenge on you; with this sword of Islam…" The Bush character tries to appease the child with food and toys but is rebuffed. "You are impure, Bush, so you are not allowed inside the White House," the child continues, because "it has been turned into a great mosque for the nation of Islam." Then the child declares: '…I will kill you, because that is your fate." The child then stabs Bush repeatedly, and eventually smiles at his successful execution: "Ahhh, I killed him..."

Google co-founder Sergey Bin, and Facebook founder Mark Zuckenberg will attend a Jerusalem Technology Conference that will take place in May, Haaretz, reports. As an initiative of Israeli president Shimon Peres, the conference will deal with evolving technology and its effect on Israel and the Jewish world. Among other leading political, financial and academic figures, the conference will be also be attended by former UK Prime Minister Tony Blair and former US secretary of state Henry Kissinger. Israel is recognized globally as a leading hi–tech center, and many of the largest international technology companies – including Microsoft, Intel and Google maintain research and development centers in Israel...

Israeli president Shimon Peres has revived a monthly Bible club, writes Israel Today. The Bible club was established by David Ben-Gurion in the mid-1950s. Ben-Gurion intended it to be a vehicle by which to train Israel's leaders to relate to the Bible as their divine heritage in the national sense, as well as a universal document in terms of how God expects man to live. He openly rejected the idea that Rabbinical Judaism had a monopoly on how the Bible was to be interpreted, and used the Bible club as a platform to emphasize that position. The club was regularly attended by Israel's leading professors, judges, and lawmakers and government ministers. After that, several attempts were made to carry on the club, but it did not last long. Compared to heated discussions and scholarly character in the past, the Bible club revived by Peres is more a cultural event– with lectures by rabbis, poetry readings and musical performances...



5. HISTORICAL FLASHBACK: DECEMBER 1948

The airlift of most Jews from Yemen and Aden, Operation Magic Carpet, begins. When it is completed in September 1950, 45,000 Jews from Yemen and 3,000 from Aden will have been flown to Israel. In 1950-51 through Operation Ali Baba 120,000 Jews from Iraq are flown to Israel. Altogether 856,000 Jews left their homes in Arab countries from 1948 until the early 1970s. Some 600,000 resettled in Israel, leaving behind property valued today at more than $300 billion. Jewish-owned real-estate left behind in Arab lands has been estimated at 100,000 square kilometers (four times the size of the State of Israel).



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